No, Polymarket Whales Aren’t Evidence of Prediction Market Manipulation
If you think the Trump bulls are wrong, bet against them.
Polymarket
U.S. Election Betting: Kalshi’s Polymarket Rival Quickly Gets Traction
In just three weeks, Kalshi’s presidential prediction market has passed $30M in volume. It still trails Polymarket’s $2 billion.
Kalshi Research Finds ‘Widespread Evidence’ of Strong Republican Momentum in U.S. Elections
A note from Kalshi’s market research team suggests the prediction market – polls gap can be explained by Harris’ sliding popularity with key demographics.
Does World Liberty Financial Count as Trump ‘Launching a Coin’? Polymarket Bettors Are Divided
Plus, a look at how PoliFi tokens are doing compared to prediction markets; there might be another #election2024 up north.
Trump’s Lead Over Harris Widens on Polymarket’s Prediction Market
His odds of winning the U.S. presidential election have soared to a more than two-month high.
Former Bitcoin Dev Peter Todd Denies He’s Satoshi Hours Before HBO Documentary Airs
“Of course I’m not Satoshi,” Todd told CoinDesk Tuesday, saying that filmmaker Cullen Hoback was “grasping at straws.”
U.S. Election Betting: Regulated Presidential Markets Are Live, and Tiny Compared to Polymarket’s
With a month to go before Election Day, Kalshi and Interactive Brokers have listed prediction markets on the race for the White House.
Polymarket Bettors Say HBO Documentary Will Name Len Sassaman as Satoshi Nakamoto
But bettors are also confident that this won’t be the smoking gun
Crypto at a Pivotal Moment
The U.S. election combined with an easier monetary environment could spark the next crypto bull market, says David Lawant.
Trump Inches Closer to Harris on Polymarket as Betting Passes $1 Billion
Kamala Harris only leads by one percentage point, but is set to carry most of the swing states.